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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
MC

Dortmund
0 - 0
Man City


Hummels (88')
FT

Cancelo (7'), Alvarez (31'), Gundogan (59'), Akanji (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Manchester City

We can envisage another closely fought affair between these sides, with Guardiola's side edging Dortmund to a tight victory once again. Haaland is likely to be a man possessed in front of his former fans, and that could make all the difference as Man City look to secure top spot in Group G. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.36%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawManchester City
23.78% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 21.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 54.36% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.98% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)37.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)60.25% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (-0.012 -0.01)65% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)14.01% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45% (0.021000000000001 0.02)41.55% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 23.78%
    Manchester City 54.36%
    Draw 21.86%
Borussia DortmundDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 5.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 23.78%
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.86%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 7.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 6.37% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-3 @ 5.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.93%
1-4 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.53% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.93% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 54.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dortmund 5-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hannover 0-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Dortmund
Sunday, October 16 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Sevilla
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-4 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Brighton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Man City
Sunday, October 16 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Copenhagen 0-0 Man City
Tuesday, October 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Southampton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 5-0 Copenhagen
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 6-3 Man Utd
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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