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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.9%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
30.66% ( -0.7) | 21.46% ( 0.13) | 47.88% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 68.95% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.77% ( -1.07) | 30.23% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.53% ( -1.3) | 51.47% ( 1.31) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( -0.9) | 20.45% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.1% ( -1.46) | 52.9% ( 1.47) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.67% ( -0.21) | 13.33% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.81% ( -0.43) | 40.19% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.66% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.25)0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 2.97% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.05)3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 47.88% |
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