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Old Firm derby: 15 mins
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Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
BL

Inter Milan
0 - 2
Bayern


Dimarco (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sane (25'), D'Ambrosio (66' og.)
de Ligt (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Milan 1-2 Bayern Munich

Despite a couple of blips, Bayern have been both relentless and ruthless in the early stages of the new season, and they will find an Inter side nursing their wounds on Wednesday. With a creaking defence, the Nerazzurri are set to be unpicked more than once by Die Roten. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 38.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (4.9%) and 3-1 (4.81%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawBayern Munich
39.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.9% (-0.02 -0.02) 38.89% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 69.79% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.88% (0.116 0.12)30.12% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.66% (0.138 0.14)51.33% (-0.134 -0.13)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (0.055000000000007 0.06)16.39% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.96% (0.094000000000001 0.09)46.04% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (0.058999999999997 0.06)16.52% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (0.104 0.1)46.27% (-0.1 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 39.21%
    Bayern Munich 38.89%
    Draw 21.9%
Inter MilanDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.9% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.17% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 39.21%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 7.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 2.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.6% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.9%
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.88% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.31% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.94% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-4 @ 1.17% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 38.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AC Milan 3-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Cremonese
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Inter Milan
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Spezia
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-4 Villarreal
Saturday, August 6 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Viktoria Koln 0-5 Bayern
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.46pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-7 Bayern
Sunday, August 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, August 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-6 Bayern
Friday, August 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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