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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 13, 2021 at 7pm UK
Mestni Štadion Fazanerija

NS Mura
5 - 0
Shkendija

Bobicanec (25'), Kouter (45+1'), Klepac (55', 87'), Kous (64')
Kozar (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Krivak (39')
Krivak (42')
Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between NS Mura and Shkendija.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Shkendija had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Shkendija win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NS Mura would win this match.

Result
NS MuraDrawShkendija
42.1%22.77%35.12%
Both teams to score 65.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.95%35.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.95%57.04%
NS Mura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72%17.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.38%47.61%
Shkendija Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58%20.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15%52.85%
Score Analysis
    NS Mura 42.1%
    Shkendija 35.12%
    Draw 22.77%
NS MuraDrawShkendija
2-1 @ 8.64%
1-0 @ 6.19%
2-0 @ 5.44%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.1%
1-1 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 6.86%
0-0 @ 3.53%
3-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.77%
1-2 @ 7.82%
0-1 @ 5.6%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 4.14%
2-3 @ 3.64%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.12%

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