Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 8, 2020 at 8pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
3 - 2
Man Utd

Angelino (2'), Haidara (13'), Kluivert (69')
Mukiele (32'), Sabitzer (35'), Kluivert (62'), Adams (81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Fernandes (80' pen.), Pogba (82')
Fernandes (5'), Shaw (44'), Maguire (63'), Williams (68'), Lindelof (77')

Scholes accuses De Gea of 'bottling it' against Leipzig

Man Utd players 'blame Solskjaer for team's problems'

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer takes blame for Man United's early Champions League exit

Harry Maguire admits Man United were not good enough in RB Leipzig defeat

Solskjaer sets unwanted record in RB Leipzig defeat

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.84%) and 0-2 (5.06%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Manchester United
37.12%	22.67%	40.2%

Both teams to score 66.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.81%

34.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.92%

56.08%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.94%

19.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.34%

50.65%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29%

17.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.65%

48.35%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 37.12%

Manchester United 40.2%

Draw 22.67%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Manchester United
2-1 @ 8.03% 1-0 @ 5.59% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.06% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.12%	1-1 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 6.95% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 2.22% Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.67%	1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 4.84% 2-3 @ 4.01% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 2.1% 2-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.26% 3-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.1% Total : 40.2%