Champions League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 9, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
3 - 1
PSG

(Real Madrid win 3-2 on aggregate)

Benzema (61', 76', 78')
Nacho (43'), Junior (44'), Carvajal (60'), Vazquez (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mbappe (39')
Paredes (7'), Donnarumma (62'), Hakimi (81'), Kimpembe (83')

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The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 Real Betis
Friday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	38	49	86
2	Barcelona	37	32	73
3	Atletico Madrid	37	21	68

Paris Saint-Germain

Last Six:

Last Game: Montpellier 0-4 PSG
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: PSG vs. Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	37	49	83
2	Monaco	37	25	68
3	Marseille	37	21	68

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
49.06%	22.94%	28%

Both teams to score 61.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.72%

39.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.39%

61.61%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.74%

16.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.19%

45.81%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36%

26.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.12%

61.88%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 49.06%

Paris Saint-Germain 28%

Draw 22.93%

Real Madrid	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.06%	1-1 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.93%	1-2 @ 6.89% 0-1 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.67% 1-4 @ 1% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.21% Total : 28%