Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.37%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 20.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.39%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
0.43) 
-0.19) 
