SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Shanghai Shenhua | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Changchun Yatai | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Dalian Pro | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Changchun Yatai | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Dalian Pro | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Dalian Pro |
46.17% ( -0.92) | 26.87% ( 0.07) | 26.96% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 47.97% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.45% ( 0.24) | 56.55% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.47% ( 0.2) | 77.53% ( -0.2) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( -0.33) | 24.46% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% ( -0.47) | 58.9% ( 0.47) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.5% ( 0.85) | 36.49% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.72% ( 0.85) | 73.28% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Dalian Pro |
| 1-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.45% Total : 46.16% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.86% Total : 26.96% |
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