SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Guangzhou |
52.46% ( 0.07) | 26.18% ( -0.04) | 21.36% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.53% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.74% ( 0.09) | 58.26% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( 0.07) | 78.89% ( -0.07) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( 0.06) | 22.33% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.19% ( 0.1) | 55.81% ( -0.1) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.33% ( 0.01) | 42.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.99% ( 0.02) | 79.01% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Guangzhou |
| 1-0 @ 14.28% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 52.45% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.06% Total : 21.36% |
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