Tianjin Jinmen Tigers will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways as they face an out-of-sorts Chengdu Qianbao side who are yet to taste victory this season. While we anticipate a cagey affair at the Wuhua Hengpi Football Town, we predict that the hosts will leave with another share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
1.4) 
-0.39) 
