Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Yifang win with a probability of 52.03%. A win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Yifang win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Henan Jianye win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.