SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 13.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dalian Pro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Shenzhen |
65.6% ( -1.74) | 20.46% ( 0.96) | 13.94% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 47.25% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.77% ( -2.38) | 47.23% ( 2.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.54% ( -2.25) | 69.45% ( 2.26) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.42% ( -1.23) | 13.58% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.31% ( -2.51) | 40.69% ( 2.52) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.68% ( -0.28) | 45.32% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.81% ( -0.22) | 81.19% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% ( 0.65) 2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.3)4-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.36)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.66% Total : 65.58% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.46% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.94% |
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