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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 4
Jun 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Yuexiushan Stadium
H

Guangzhou City
0 - 3
Henan


Gong (11')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dourado (37'), Han (56'), Boxuan (90+1')
Du (25'), Ma (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guangzhou City 0-1 Shandong
Sunday, June 12 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

We said: Guangzhou City 1-3 Henan Songshan Longmen

While Guangzhou City are yet to pick up a point, Henan are currently riding a crest of a wave after collecting seven points from their opening three matches, and we think that the visitors will utilise the momentum gained from those results to claim three points on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Guangzhou City win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou CityDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
33.22% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 27.03% (0.0010000000000012 0) 39.75% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)54.81% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)30.94% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)67.23% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.018999999999991 0.02)26.98% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.33% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou City 33.22%
    Henan Songshan Longmen 39.74%
    Draw 27.02%
Guangzhou CityDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.35% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guangzhou City 0-1 Shandong
Sunday, June 12 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Dalian Pro 2-0 Guangzhou City
Wednesday, June 8 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 4-1 Guangzhou City
Saturday, June 4 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Guangzhou City 2-1 Hebei
Tuesday, January 4 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 1-1 Guangzhou City
Saturday, January 1 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Guangzhou City 1-2 Shanghai Port
Wednesday, December 29 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 3-1 Zhejiang
Saturday, June 11 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 4-1 Shandong
Wednesday, June 8 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 2-2 Dalian Pro
Saturday, June 4 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 3-0 Henan
Monday, January 3 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 1-0 Wuhan
Friday, December 31 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 0-0 Henan
Tuesday, December 28 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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