SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 77.15%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 8.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.65%) and 0-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Shanghai Port |
8.15% ( -0.09) | 14.7% ( -0.07) | 77.15% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.51% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.87% ( 0.05) | 37.13% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.68% ( 0.05) | 59.33% ( -0.05) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.5% ( -0.18) | 49.5% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.69% ( -0.13) | 84.31% ( 0.13) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.1% ( 0.05) | 7.9% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.05% ( 0.12) | 27.95% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 8.15% | 1-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 14.7% | 0-2 @ 12.59% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 10.65% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 9.93% 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.5% ( -0)0-4 @ 6.76% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 3.43% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)1-6 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 77.14% |
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