SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
35.94% ( 0.52) | 25.89% ( 0.08) | 38.16% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( -0.29) | 49.72% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( -0.26) | 71.73% ( 0.26) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% ( 0.17) | 26.75% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.98% ( 0.22) | 62.02% ( -0.22) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( -0.45) | 25.49% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( -0.63) | 60.34% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 35.94% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.16% |
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