Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.