SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
23.1% ( -0.04) | 24.85% ( 0.02) | 52.05% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.27% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.23% ( -0.12) | 51.76% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.47% ( -0.1) | 73.53% ( 0.1) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( -0.11) | 37.26% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( -0.1) | 74.05% ( 0.1) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( -0.04) | 19.87% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.02% ( -0.06) | 51.98% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.61% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 23.1% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 52.05% |
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