Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.

Result
Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Changchun Yatai
47.69% ( -0.46)	25.95% ( 0.06)	26.36% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 50.18% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.53% (

0.02)

53.47% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.01% (

0.02)

74.99% (

-0.02)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.57% (

-0.2)

22.43% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.05% (

-0.3)

55.95% (

0.3)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68% (

0.35)

35.32% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

0.36)

72.08% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua 47.69%

Changchun Yatai 26.36%

Draw 25.95%

Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Changchun Yatai
1-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.69%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 26.36%