Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.
-0.09) 
0.1) 
