SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
56.98% ( -0.54) | 22.76% ( 0.31) | 20.26% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 52.88% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.62% ( -1.01) | 46.38% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.33% ( -0.96) | 68.67% ( 0.96) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% ( -0.53) | 16.04% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.6% ( -0.98) | 45.4% ( 0.98) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.98% ( -0.33) | 37.02% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.2% ( -0.33) | 73.8% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.28% Total : 56.98% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.76% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.26% |
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