Neither side can progress any further in the competition, but it is still an important match, and we are expecting a close game. Al Jazira are certainly capable of winning, but Monterrey have a lot of talent in the final third, and we fancy the Mexican club to record a 2-1 victory on Wednesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Al Jazira Club had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.46%), while for an Al Jazira Club win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
