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CONCACAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 1, 2024 at 2.15am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
2 - 1
America

Rodriguez (13'), Deossa (14')
Cabral (49+3'), Berlanga (63'), Micolta (77'), Pedraza (84'), Gonzalez (86+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Martin (17')
dos Santos (50'), Juarez (58'), Lichnovsky (71')
Reyes (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Pachuca 0-1 Club America (Club America advances 2-1 on aggregate)

While they held their ground in the opening leg of this tie, Pachuca are in a precarious position heading into this encounter, and we believe that may play into the hands of the visitors, who have fared well away from home of late and have the attacking depth needed to make the difference. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
PachucaDrawClub America
37.56% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 24.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 37.96% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.68% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.81% (0.043999999999997 0.04)43.19% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.41% (0.045999999999999 0.05)65.59% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.037999999999997 0.04)22.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.055999999999997 0.06)56.58% (-0.055 -0.05)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (0.007000000000005 0.01)22.64% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (0.011000000000003 0.01)56.28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 37.56%
    Club America 37.96%
    Draw 24.48%
PachucaDrawClub America
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 37.56%
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55%
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, April 28 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-1 Pachuca
Wednesday, April 24 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-2 Pachuca
Sunday, April 21 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 14 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Herediano
Thursday, April 11 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Tigres 0-3 Pachuca
Sunday, April 7 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 America
Saturday, April 27 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-1 Pachuca
Wednesday, April 24 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Pumas 2-1 America
Sunday, April 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 5-1 Toluca
Sunday, April 14 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 5-2 New England
Wednesday, April 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-1 America
Sunday, April 7 at 4.05am in Liga MX


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