Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonaire win with a probability of 78.54%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Anguilla had a probability of 7.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonaire win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.98%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for an Anguilla win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bonaire in this match.
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