SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for an Antigua and Barbuda win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
57.83% ( 0.33) | 22.75% ( -0.13) | 19.42% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% ( 0.3) | 47.48% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( 0.27) | 69.69% ( -0.27) |
| Guadeloupe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( 0.22) | 16.14% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.43% ( 0.4) | 45.57% ( -0.39) |
| Antigua and Barbuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.47% ( -0.04) | 38.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.72% ( -0.04) | 75.28% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 57.83% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 19.42% |
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