SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Mexico |
25.73% ( 0.02) | 25.02% ( 0.02) | 49.25% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.8% ( -0.04) | 50.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.84% ( -0.04) | 72.16% ( 0.04) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% ( -0) | 34.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.23% ( -0.01) | 70.76% ( 0.01) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( -0.03) | 20.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.17% ( -0.05) | 52.83% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | Mexico |
| 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.73% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.78% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.25% |
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