While Cartagena have stood strong in their first two cup outings, their second-tier form is a cause for concern, while their attacking record leaves a lot to be desired.
Returning to action with momentum in the camp, Valencia should have more than enough to outclass their visitors and cruise through to the final 16 in relatively comfortable fashion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%).
-0.05) 
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