Even though they are out of Europe, Sevilla's focus may be on averting relegation fears in La Liga, and an out-of-sorts set of players may struggle against one of the strongest sides in the second tier.
Ferrol have been exceptional at home this season, but this would be by far their best result yet, and with not much separating the sides in the league pyramid, there is nothing to suggest why they cannot pull it off.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
-0.16) 
0.11) 
