Sestao River
0 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Huete (31'), Latona (31'), Uriarte (64'), Urcelay (90+1'), Latona (91')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Garcia (32')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Sestao River and Athletic Bilbao.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Sestao River had a probability of 10.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.46%) and 0-3 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Sestao River win it was 1-0 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Sestao River	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
10.09%	17.82%	72.09%

Both teams to score 43.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.6%

45.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.26%

67.74%

Sestao River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.18%

50.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.78%

85.22%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.79%

11.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.26%

35.74%

Score Analysis

Sestao River 10.09%

Athletic Bilbao 72.08%

Draw 17.82%

Sestao River	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 3.86% 2-1 @ 2.86% 2-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.07% Total : 10.09%	1-1 @ 8.44% 0-0 @ 5.7% 2-2 @ 3.13% Other @ 0.57% Total : 17.82%	0-2 @ 13.64% 0-1 @ 12.46% 0-3 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 9.23% 1-3 @ 6.74% 0-4 @ 5.44% 1-4 @ 3.69% 0-5 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-5 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.41% Total : 72.08%