Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 22, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Antonio Accioly
FT(HT: 3-1)
Cardoso Francisco (41', 88')
da Silva Dias Ribeiro (3')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Brusque had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Brusque win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
| Result |
| Atletico Goianiense | Draw | Brusque |
59.13% ( -0.15) | 22.44% ( 0.07) | 18.43% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.83% ( -0.06) |
| 52.43% ( -0.16) | 47.57% ( 0.16) |
| 30.23% ( -0.14) | 69.77% ( 0.14) |
| Atletico Goianiense Goals |
| 84.27% ( -0.1) | 15.73% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.17% ( -0.19) | 44.83% ( 0.19) |
| 60.32% ( 0) | 39.68% |
