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Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
C

Santos
1 - 0
Corinthians

Leonardo (67' pen.)
Fernandez (84'), Leonardo (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Queiroz (26'), Melo (40'), Gustavo (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos 1-0 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro

We said: Santos 0-0 Corinthians

Given the extent to which this tie already feels concluded, we can envisage a fairly drab affair ensuing on Thursday. Neither side are likely to wish to exert too much energy ahead of important matches at the weekend, so Corinthians should comfortably progress having already put in the hard yards in the home leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.

Result
SantosDrawCorinthians
53.84% (1.327 1.33) 26.2% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 19.96% (-1.327 -1.33)
Both teams to score 42.7% (-1.673 -1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.32% (-1.268 -1.27)59.68% (1.265 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20% (-0.982 -0.98)79.99% (0.979 0.98)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.037000000000006 0.04)22.33% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (0.057000000000002 0.06)55.81% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.98% (-2.184 -2.18)45.02% (2.181 2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.05% (-1.794 -1.79)80.95% (1.792 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Santos 53.83%
    Corinthians 19.96%
    Draw 26.18%
SantosDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 15.07% (0.72 0.72)
2-0 @ 11.29% (0.55 0.55)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.283 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 53.83%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 10.05% (0.466 0.47)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.263 -0.26)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.357 -0.36)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.242 -0.24)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Santos 1-0 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Tachira (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 7 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Santos 1-2 Flamengo
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tachira 1-1 Santos
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Santos
Saturday, June 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 4-0 Santos
Thursday, June 23 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Flamengo
Sunday, July 10 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Corinthians (5-6 pen.)
Wednesday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 4-0 Corinthians
Saturday, July 2 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Santos
Saturday, June 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 4-0 Santos
Thursday, June 23 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil


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