SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
61.55% ( -3.14) | 22.82% ( 1.11) | 15.63% ( 2.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.28% ( 1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.56% ( -0.61) | 53.44% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.03% ( -0.51) | 74.96% ( 0.51) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( -1.27) | 16.95% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.97% ( -2.3) | 47.03% ( 2.3) |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.32% ( 2.59) | 46.68% ( -2.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.75% ( 1.9) | 82.24% ( -1.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
| 1-0 @ 14.04% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 12.46% ( -0.8)2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.82)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.52)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.54% Total : 61.54% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.56) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.3)Other @ 0.59% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.14)Other @ 1.28% Total : 15.63% |
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