Both sides have been tight defensively in the Copa Libertadores knockout stage, particularly the visitors who are yet to concede in two two-legged ties, and we anticipate another close-fought encounter on Friday with Palmeiras' slightly superior quality possibly inspiring a narrow away win in the first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Palmeiras
34.61% ( -0.02)	29.16% ( -0.02)	36.23% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 44.4% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.61% (

0.07)

62.39% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.98% (

0.05)

82.02% (

-0.05)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.1% (

0.02)

33.9% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43% (

0.02)

70.57% (

-0.02)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.17% (

0.06)

32.83% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.6% (

0.07)

69.4% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 34.61%

Palmeiras 36.22%

Draw 29.16%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.61%	1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.16%	0-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.22%