Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
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