Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Cobresal had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Cobresal win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.1) 
