Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2023 at 12am UK
Barrios (61'), Leiva (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Curico Unido and Cerro Porteno.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Curico Unido had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Curico Unido win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerro Porteno in this match.
| Result |
| Curico Unido | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
31.18% ( 1.66) | 27.08% ( -0.18) | 41.73% ( -1.48) |
| Both teams to score 49.64% ( 1.24) |
| 44.48% ( 1.24) | 55.52% ( -1.24) |
| 23.3% ( 1.01) | 76.7% ( -1.01) |
| 67.3% ( 1.87) | 32.69% ( -1.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.75% ( 2.04) | 69.24% ( -2.04) |
| 73.76% ( -0.2) | 26.24% ( 0.2) |
