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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 7, 2023 at 1am UK
Monumental de Maturin

Monagas
0 - 0
Boca Juniors


Basante (31'), Ramirez (51'), Cummings (75')
FT

Roncaglia (34'), Benedetto (45+4'), Fabra (58'), Garcia (58'), Figal (74')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Monagas and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Monagas 1-0 Everton
Tuesday, March 1 at 10.15pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Barracas Central 0-3 Boca Juniors
Saturday, April 1 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Monagas had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Monagas win it was 1-0 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
MonagasDrawBoca Juniors
24.91% (-0.181 -0.18) 28.54% (0.114 0.11) 46.55% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 42.05% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.68% (-0.455 -0.45)63.32% (0.454 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.3% (-0.329 -0.33)82.7% (0.33 0.33)
Monagas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.9% (-0.432 -0.43)42.1% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.48% (-0.376 -0.38)78.52% (0.377 0.38)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)27.37% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (-0.236 -0.24)62.84% (0.236 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Monagas 24.91%
    Boca Juniors 46.55%
    Draw 28.53%
MonagasDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.051 0.05)
2-1 @ 5.59% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 24.91%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 11.52% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 14.93% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 9.67% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 46.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Monagas 1-0 Everton
Tuesday, March 1 at 10.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Everton 3-0 Monagas
Tuesday, February 22 at 10.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Monagas 2-1 Royal Pari (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 27 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Royal Pari 2-1 Monagas
Thursday, February 14 at 9.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 3-2 Monagas
Wednesday, May 23 at 11.15pm in
Last Game: Monagas 1-2 Gremio
Wednesday, May 16 at 1.30am in
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-3 Boca Juniors
Saturday, April 1 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-3 Instituto
Sunday, March 19 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 1-0 Boca Juniors
Monday, March 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Defensa
Tuesday, March 7 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-2 Boca Juniors
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-1 Platense
Sunday, February 19 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division


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