Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.25%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Palestino win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0.14) 
0.28) 
