SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Union had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Junior | Draw | Union |
51.79% ( 0.02) | 25.39% ( -0.01) | 22.82% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.39% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.91% ( 0.03) | 54.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.48% ( 0.02) | 75.52% ( -0.02) |
| Atletico Junior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( 0.02) | 20.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.37% ( 0.03) | 53.63% ( -0.03) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.18% ( 0.01) | 38.82% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.44% ( 0) | 75.56% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Junior | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 51.78% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0)Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.82% |
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