SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Audax Italiano had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Audax Italiano win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
| Result | ||
| Audax Italiano | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
32.54% ( 0.02) | 26.38% ( -0) | 41.07% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.28% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.63% ( 0.03) | 52.37% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.94% ( 0.02) | 74.05% ( -0.02) |
| Audax Italiano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% ( 0.02) | 30.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.68% ( 0.03) | 66.31% ( -0.03) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( 0.01) | 25.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.14% ( 0.01) | 59.86% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Audax Italiano | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.54% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.49% Total : 41.07% |
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