SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 69.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Deportivo Binacional had a probability of 12.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Deportivo Binacional win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesar Vallejo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cesar Vallejo | Draw | Deportivo Binacional |
69.82% ( -0.21) | 18.14% ( 0.07) | 12.04% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.54% ( 0.04) | 41.45% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.14% ( 0.04) | 63.85% ( -0.04) |
| Cesar Vallejo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.28% ( -0.04) | 10.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.35% ( -0.09) | 34.64% ( 0.09) |
| Deportivo Binacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.3% ( 0.26) | 44.7% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.31% ( 0.21) | 80.69% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cesar Vallejo | Draw | Deportivo Binacional |
| 2-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.04% Total : 69.81% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.87% Total : 18.14% | 0-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.19% Total : 12.04% |
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