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CL
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz

Libertad
2 - 0
Palestino

Bogarin (71'), Oviedo (74')
Bareiro (33'), Vangioni (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Alvarado (3'), Farias (22'), Fernandez (41')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Palestino.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.

Result
Club LibertadDrawPalestino
50.63%27.57%21.8%
Both teams to score 41.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.59%62.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.96%82.04%
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04%24.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.4%59.6%
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.37%44.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.36%80.64%
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 50.63%
    Palestino 21.8%
    Draw 27.56%
Club LibertadDrawPalestino
1-0 @ 15.46%
2-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 8.66%
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-1 @ 4.01%
4-0 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.62%
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 50.63%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 11.13%
2-2 @ 3.49%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 8.99%
1-2 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 0.98%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.8%

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