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E
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 2, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
G

Estudiantes
3 - 0
Goias

Carrillo (54'), Rollheiser (63', 84')
Benedetti (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Magno (34')
Santos (47')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-3 Estudiantes
Friday, July 28 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Goias 1-1 Gremio
Sunday, July 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Estudiantes 1-0 Goias

The Argentines are in fine form at the moment and have looked very well-organised and virtually impenetrable defensively in this competition to date. We do not expect them to be tested too much on Wednesday against one of the weakest attacking units in the Brasileiro Serie A this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawGoias
64.41% (-1.012 -1.01) 22.16% (0.571 0.57) 13.42% (0.435 0.43)
Both teams to score 41.09% (-0.44 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (-1.266 -1.27)54.87% (1.259 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (-1.056 -1.06)76.16% (1.05 1.05)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (-0.773 -0.77)16.47% (0.768 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.82% (-1.409 -1.41)46.17% (1.403 1.4)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.19% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)50.81% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.79% (-0.048 -0.05)85.21% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 64.41%
    Goias 13.42%
    Draw 22.15%
EstudiantesDrawGoias
1-0 @ 15.09% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 13.61% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.18% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.69% (-0.211 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 64.41%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.37% (0.401 0.4)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.15%
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.261 0.26)
1-2 @ 3.46% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.92% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 13.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-3 Estudiantes
Friday, July 28 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 4-0 Belgrano
Saturday, July 22 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 4-0 Barcelona
Wednesday, July 19 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, July 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Estudiantes
Wednesday, July 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-0 Racing
Saturday, July 8 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Goias 1-1 Gremio
Sunday, July 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Goias
Sunday, July 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, July 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 4-3 Goias
Sunday, July 9 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 1-2 Coritiba
Tuesday, July 4 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santa Fe 1-2 Goias
Thursday, June 29 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana


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