Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
-0.52) 
1.04) 
