Metropolitanos
3 - 2
Aucas

Flores (14'), Moreno (51'), Pavone (65' pen.)
Jose Gabriel Cova Meneses (39'), Moreno (45+1'), Pavone (45+2'), (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ordonez (67' pen.), Carerra (69')
Fydriszewski (44'), Carabali (45+1'), Briones (54'), Tapiero (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Metropolitanos and Aucas.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Aucas had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest Aucas win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metropolitanos would win this match.

Result
Metropolitanos	Draw	Aucas
39.78%	23.07%	37.15%

Both teams to score 65.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.78%

36.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.66%

58.33%

Metropolitanos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.25%

18.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.87%

50.12%

Aucas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05%

19.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.9%

52.1%

Score Analysis

Metropolitanos 39.78%

Aucas 37.15%

Draw 23.07%

Metropolitanos	Draw	Aucas
2-1 @ 8.45% 1-0 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 5.24% 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.6% Total : 39.78%	1-1 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 6.81% 0-0 @ 3.74% 3-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.07%	1-2 @ 8.13% 0-1 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.2% Total : 37.15%