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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 7, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
1 - 1
12 de Octubre

Troyansky (31')
Salazar (14'), Palacios (38'), Rosane (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nunez (45')
Manenti (11'), Nunez (28'), Aguilar (62'), Salinas (77')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between San Lorenzo and 12 de Octubre.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for 12 de Octubre had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest 12 de Octubre win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDraw12 de Octubre
44.11%27.11%28.78%
Both teams to score 48.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.48%56.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.49%77.51%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53%25.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7%60.3%
12 de Octubre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.99%35.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24%71.76%
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 44.1%
    12 de Octubre 28.78%
    Draw 27.1%
San LorenzoDraw12 de Octubre
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 8.34%
3-1 @ 3.99%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 44.1%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 9.36%
1-2 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 28.78%

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