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Copa Diego Maradona | Fase Campeon
Dec 12, 2020 at 10.20pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jacinto Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 1
Arsenal

Gonzalez (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pons (90')
Candia (82'), Carabajal (85')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Fase Campeon clash between Boca Juniors and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawArsenal Sarandi
54.41%25.53%20.05%
Both teams to score 44.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.66%57.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83%78.17%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87%21.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02%53.97%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.45%43.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.25%79.75%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 54.4%
    Arsenal Sarandi 20.05%
    Draw 25.53%
Boca JuniorsDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 14.3%
2-0 @ 11.11%
2-1 @ 9.24%
3-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 4.79%
4-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 54.4%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 9.2%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.65%
1-2 @ 4.94%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 20.05%

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