Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.