Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
