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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 20, 2021 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
1 - 3
Lanus

Herrera (13')
Sabella (44'), Gordillo (52'), (75'), Fernandez (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Acosta (40'), De la Vega (80'), Gonzalez (90+3')
De la Vega (83'), Gonzalez (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawLanus
35.03%27.74%37.23%
Both teams to score 48.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.69%57.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.86%78.14%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69%31.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69%67.32%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36%29.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32%65.68%
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 35.03%
    Lanus 37.22%
    Draw 27.74%
San LorenzoDrawLanus
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 6.3%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.03%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 11.17%
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 1.89%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 37.22%

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