Despite their shaky recent defensive record, Dallinga and Branco van den Boomen in the Toulouse side will surely be too much for their struggling Ligue 2 opponents to cope with. The hosts will be very confident of snapping their losing run and booking a place in the semi-final.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
-0.18) 
0.07) 
